John Dramani Mahama, leader of the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC), has expanded his advantage with 17 days till the 2024 general elections.
This is according to a recent Global Info Analytics poll, issued on Monday, November 18, 2024.
The poll was done by making random calls to a sample size of 2,654 people from November 11th to November 18th, with 2,623 successfully responding to all questions.
The penultimate poll prior of Ghana’s presidential election on December 7 forecasts that John Dramani Mahama (JDM) will win with 51.9% of the vote.
Dr Mahamudu Bawumia (DMB), the presidential candidate of the ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP), is in second position with 40.5%, followed by independent presidential candidates Nana Kwame Bediako (NKB) and Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen (AKK) with 4.7% and 2.1%, respectively.
While the poll anticipates a closely contested election in swing regions such as Greater Accra, Central, and Western, it also notes a worrying fall in the NPP’s numbers in the Akan and northern regions.
According to Global Info Analytics, in the swing regions, JDM accounts for 51.1%, DMB for 39.5%, AKK for 2.0%, NKB for 7.0%, and others for 0.4%.
DMB dominates the Akan areas with 46.6%, followed by JDM (44.5%), AKK (2.6%), NKB (5.6%), and others (0.9%). In the Northern areas, JDM dominates with 64.7%, followed by DMB at 33.9%, AKK at 0.7%, and NKB at 0.7%. JDM leads in the Volta and Oti areas with 72.7%, followed by DMB (19.7%), AKK (2.2%), NKB (3.3%), and others (2.2%).
On average, the survey shows Mahama ahead in thirteen (13) regions, while Dr Bawumia leads in three. “JDM is ahead in the Ahafo and Bono regions, which have traditionally supported the ruling party in previous elections.
John Mahama leads among floating or independent voters with 63%, followed by Nana Kwame Bediako at 17%, Dr Bawumia at 13%, Alan Kyerematen at 5%, and others at 2%. According to the poll, JDM leads with 48% of first-time votes, followed by DMB at 39%, NKB at 8%, and AKK at 5%.
John Mahama continues the lead among people who say the economy and jobs are their top concerns, with 55% to Dr Bawumia’s 38%. Similarly, among those who prioritize education, John Mahama leads with 49% to Dr. Bawumia’s 43%.
