Election 2024: Fitch Solutions has predicted the winner of the December 7 polls.
According to the London-based consultancy, 54 percent of those surveyed, consistent with its forecast since last year, predicted that NDC nominee John Mahama would win the next presidential election.
Speaking on the Mid-Year Review for Sub-Saharan Africa, Associate Director, Country Risk at Fitch Solutions Mike Kruiniger indicated that voters’ decisions on December 7 will be heavily influenced by the status of the economy as it is.
“We believe that the opposition NDC has a stronger chance of winning the upcoming general elections compared to the ruling NPP. Recent polls consistently place the NDC ahead, with the most recent survey showing 54 % of respondents favoring the NDC.
“In addition, multiple surveys have shown that economic management and job creation are going to be the most important issues during the election for voters which we believe will put the ruling NPP at a disadvantage given the economic challenges that the country has faced over the last couple of years.”
Mr. Kruiniger also explained that the policy direction of the country will not change under the NDC government.
According to him, a Mahama-led administration is also likely to continue with the International Monetary Fund program initiated by the Akufo-Addo-Bawumia government.
“In terms of what a government change will mean for the economy, we think that policy direction under a likely NDC government will not largely change.
“The NDC will most likely stick to Ghana’s IMF programme particularly as the party has shown commitment in the past to international agreements and obligations. So in summary, we expect policy continuation in Ghana despite a likely government change,” he stressed.